In the News: Now that the New Hampshire primary is over, with McCain coming out on top, McCain and Romney are heatedly discussing how to bolster the Michigan economy, both attempting to outshine their opponent before the Michigan primary begins. On Wednesday, McCain will be visiting York County for a town hall meeting. Also, McCain will be speaking at the Burnham Brook Community Center, Michigan in order to try to boost his chances of winning the primary. There is a question whether the assassination of Bhutto has raised the number of people who will vote for McCain. The theory is that because he has the most experience in foreign policy and national defense. Because South Carolina is home to many war veterans, McCain, a war hero, is counting on that primary to boost his presidential campaign. Also, in a gym at Clawson High School, McCain tells the crowd that the USA is winning the war in Iraq, and simply needs more time. McCain has, along with Environmental Defense, the Natural Resources Defense Council, and the Pew Center on Climate Change, supported a tax increase on energy.
Endorsements: South Carolina’s largest newspaper, The State, endorsed McCain, choosing him above the inexperienced Huckabee.
In the Polls: Romney is currently leading McCain in the polls leading up to the Michigan primary, while Huckabee is in third.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
4 comments:
Well McCain could have a decent chance with winning the Republican nomination. Many people have seemed to adopt his stance on foreign policy and believe that he will be the Presdient with the most knowledge of this subject. Although he is in second place in Michigan behind Romney,what will happen if Romney wins? Then there will be three winners of three primary/caucus races. That will definitely cause an intense battle in the Republican race.
In 2000, McCain did beat Bush in the New Hampshire primary due to the amount of independent voters who supported McCain, but as we all know Bush still won. So just becasue McCain won New Hampshire does not necessarily mean he will get the nomination, but it could give him more support in the other primary's. Perhaps this time, it will work in his favor.
McCain’s win in New Hampshire, has helped him gain the lead among Republican candidates nationally (according to a CBS News/NY Times poll from Jan. 9th- 12th) with 33% of the vote, compared to Huckabee with 18%). While the New Hampshire primary definitely has affected McCain’s national support, this does not mean that McCain will certainly win the Republican nomination for President. This positive effect on McCain’s campaign is very normal for winners of the New Hampshire primary. For example, when Eisenhower beat Taft, Eisenhower became a well-known politician. However, the New Hampshire primary, as of lately, has not had a good record at picking the presidential nominations. It has picked 55% of the Presidential nominations. With this number being so close to 50%, it is uncertain whether McCain would surely win the nomination because he won New Hampshire. In fact, many candidates die out after the New Hampshire primary.
McCain has become the "Comeback Kid" once again (subsequent to his 2000 New Hampshire win). However, will he be able to take this title and see it through to the nomination? Or will he at least win Michigan? Although he runs a tight race between Huckabee and Romney for the primary tomorrow, McCain does have a few advantages. Since the vote does not count for Democrats in Michigan (due to their attempting to move their primary earlier), it is possible that Democrats and Independents will vote in the Republican Primary. Similar to his Michigan win in 2000, McCain can benefit greatly from more Independent voters.
John McCain won the New Hampshire primary, but this came as no suprise. Previously, in the 2000 election McCain also won the New Hampshire primary, but was crushed in the following primaries by George Busch. How is this year different then the last? There is no difference, and I predict I very similar situation to 2000. Every primary season there will be candidates who recieve the majority of support in certain states that does not correlate with the majority of American states. McCain, historically, has been unable to use the early win to his advantage, and the prediction polls for Michigan show that he has not been hit with any epipheny for success.
Post a Comment